S&P 500 - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	56%	56%	67%	89%	89%	100%	67%	56%	56%	89%	56%
Average return %	+2.06%	-0.56%	-0.53%	+1.20%	+1.45%	+2.05%	+3.35%	+1.04%	-1.47%	+0.95%	+4.23%	-0.14%
2026	+1.37%	-0.83%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+2.70%	-1.42%	-5.75%	-0.76%	+6.15%	+4.96%	+2.17%	+1.91%	+3.53%	+2.27%	+0.13%	-0.05%
2024	+1.59%	+5.17%	+3.10%	-4.16%	+4.80%	+3.47%	+1.13%	+2.28%	+2.02%	-0.99%	+5.73%	-2.50%
2023	+6.18%	-2.61%	+3.51%	+1.46%	+0.25%	+6.47%	+3.11%	-1.77%	-4.87%	-2.20%	+8.92%	+4.42%
2022	-5.26%	-3.14%	+3.58%	-8.80%	+0.01%	-8.39%	+9.11%	-4.24%	-9.34%	+7.99%	+5.38%	-5.90%
2021	-1.11%	+2.61%	+4.24%	+5.24%	+0.55%	+2.22%	+2.27%	+2.90%	-4.76%	+6.91%	-0.83%	+4.36%
2020	-0.16%	-8.41%	-12.51%	+12.68%	+4.53%	+1.84%	+5.51%	+7.01%	-3.92%	-2.77%	+10.75%	+3.71%
2019	+7.87%	+2.97%	+1.79%	+3.93%	-6.58%	+6.89%	+1.31%	-1.81%	+1.72%	+2.04%	+3.40%	+2.86%
2018	+5.62%	-3.89%	-2.69%	+0.27%	+2.16%	+0.48%	+3.60%	+3.03%	+0.43%	-6.94%	+1.79%	-9.18%
2017	+1.79%	+3.72%	-0.04%	+0.91%	+1.16%	+0.48%	+1.93%	+0.05%	+1.93%	+2.22%	+2.81%	+0.98%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

68.93%

2012

83.51%

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Weekly average

Monthly average