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Election
96.10%
2020
Probability %
Average return %
+1.92%
-0.54%
-2.63%
+3.79%
+1.87%
-3.47%
+2.68%
-0.21%
-3.07%
-1.08%
+3.68%
+3.08%
2026
+4.06%
+3.91%
-7.66%
+5.83%
+1.78%
-6.85%
+4.86%
+3.14%
-2.29%
--
2025
+2.72%
+1.50%
+3.34%
+6.61%
+6.15%
+1.64%
-1.43%
+1.94%
-0.06%
-1.92%
+1.53%
+2.44%
2024
-3.00%
+0.29%
+3.00%
-1.12%
+8.26%
+4.95%
+1.79%
-0.24%
-6.90%
-1.89%
-2.45%
2023
+8.30%
+0.59%
-2.18%
+3.60%
-6.89%
-0.73%
+3.47%
-4.27%
-5.13%
-4.54%
+9.58%
+8.64%
2022
-4.84%
-6.23%
+1.10%
-6.25%
+2.59%
-14.60%
+5.05%
-8.93%
-14.33%
+7.85%
+13.20%
-0.92%
2021
-0.64%
+5.52%
+2.88%
+5.44%
+4.04%
-3.93%
+4.07%
+2.46%
-8.23%
+4.16%
-6.09%
+6.05%
-4.25%
-9.01%
-28.56%
+11.14%
+7.01%
+2.38%
+4.56%
+6.80%
-3.85%
-4.89%
+16.31%
+9.76%
2019
+8.25%
+2.13%
-0.95%
+4.35%
-5.97%
+1.76%
-4.49%
-2.26%
+2.66%
+5.35%
+3.01%
+7.71%
2018
+4.62%
-4.63%
-0.70%
+1.27%
-2.42%
-5.54%
+1.38%
-2.60%
-1.77%
-8.59%
-1.85%
-6.04%
2017
+3.97%
+0.51%
+6.99%
+4.18%
-1.97%
+4.40%
+3.33%
-0.23%
-0.71%
+2.53%
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