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Election
88.22%
2020
88.69%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.22%
-0.12%
-2.65%
+1.02%
+0.47%
+0.81%
+3.06%
+0.04%
-1.55%
+0.50%
+4.88%
-0.62%
2026
+3.82%
+3.75%
-5.47%
+5.58%
-0.63%
+2.54%
+1.77%
-0.21%
-3.05%
--
2025
+2.73%
-1.72%
-3.77%
-4.77%
+3.92%
+2.26%
+0.98%
+4.25%
-0.87%
-3.31%
+2.89%
-0.83%
2024
-2.19%
+3.27%
+5.68%
-5.21%
+4.07%
-2.79%
+7.14%
+0.42%
+1.61%
-0.49%
+8.84%
-7.96%
2023
+8.07%
-3.10%
-4.87%
+0.05%
-5.10%
+5.16%
-3.01%
-4.50%
-3.96%
+8.08%
+7.46%
2022
-2.39%
+1.06%
+1.51%
-5.36%
+3.26%
-10.21%
+8.41%
-1.56%
-9.45%
+10.94%
+4.59%
-5.88%
2021
+1.21%
+7.10%
+7.13%
+4.11%
+2.07%
-2.33%
-0.24%
+2.29%
-3.18%
+4.34%
-2.38%
+5.07%
-10.87%
-26.70%
+12.29%
+3.39%
+1.03%
+3.78%
+2.28%
-3.86%
+1.80%
+13.89%
2019
+10.72%
+2.06%
+0.14%
-7.63%
+6.78%
+0.64%
-4.67%
+4.55%
+1.29%
+1.39%
+2.01%
2018
+1.62%
-5.13%
+0.32%
+0.76%
+1.36%
+2.32%
+1.91%
-1.21%
-7.02%
+2.42%
-9.94%
2017
+1.43%
+2.41%
-0.52%
+0.25%
-1.41%
+1.40%
+0.61%
-1.28%
+2.97%
+0.93%
+4.19%
+0.68%
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