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Election
78.64%
2021
79.75%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.14%
+1.90%
+0.26%
-2.94%
-1.65%
-3.42%
-5.04%
-1.93%
+1.96%
-2.63%
-8.25%
-0.08%
2026
-2.98%
-0.25%
+10.89%
-12.82%
-5.11%
-5.66%
-0.06%
-2.39%
+5.85%
--
2025
-8.12%
+3.51%
+8.07%
+3.21%
-7.41%
-8.46%
+0.29%
-5.76%
-4.01%
-4.32%
-0.57%
-2.05%
2024
-1.59%
-3.68%
-4.38%
+11.44%
-4.05%
-2.71%
-7.63%
-3.04%
-4.40%
+3.43%
-13.66%
+10.22%
2023
-5.30%
+9.26%
-4.18%
+7.39%
-8.52%
-5.96%
+5.33%
+7.24%
+3.44%
-15.25%
-9.49%
2022
+6.58%
+6.10%
-5.79%
+9.45%
-2.16%
+13.29%
-12.55%
+7.59%
+19.40%
-23.88%
-11.05%
+8.68%
+3.45%
-6.97%
-12.99%
-5.55%
-4.66%
-0.32%
-2.99%
-3.08%
+8.39%
-11.30%
+7.19%
-11.00%
2020
+1.64%
+21.21%
+4.00%
-22.71%
-10.26%
-6.14%
-5.90%
-14.13%
+3.09%
+8.49%
-21.48%
-6.45%
2019
-13.47%
-7.28%
-0.39%
-4.60%
+13.86%
-13.21%
-1.87%
+2.03%
-4.31%
-1.10%
-7.52%
-3.55%
2018
-10.47%
+6.68%
+6.14%
-0.79%
+0.91%
-8.73%
-3.91%
+9.96%
-4.21%
+17.02%
2017
-1.13%
-9.56%
+1.18%
-2.73%
-1.44%
-3.41%
-5.05%
-1.15%
-3.86%
-8.40%
-7.74%
-4.08%
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