Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (US9219107094) - Seasonality

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Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (US9219107094) - Seasonality

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Correlation

2023

90.25%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	60%	50%	70%	50%	90%	50%	50%	67%	67%	78%	67%
Average return %	+0.39%	-0.07%	+0.25%	-3.02%	+0.36%	+1.52%	-0.45%	+0.80%	-3.19%	-3.81%	+3.97%	-1.45%
2026	-0.25%	+6.62%	-6.06%	-2.80%	+0.93%	+2.13%	-8.64%	+1.19%	-0.90%	--	--	--
2025	-0.12%	+7.78%	-2.46%	-3.99%	-4.98%	+3.75%	-2.91%	-1.21%	+6.04%	+0.98%	-0.42%	-5.55%
2024	-3.99%	-2.62%	+1.11%	-10.07%	+3.96%	+2.50%	+2.94%	+2.83%	+2.54%	-8.07%	+2.54%	-9.84%
2023	+10.18%	-6.37%	+5.96%	-0.59%	-4.23%	+1.01%	-4.77%	-4.67%	-11.41%	-8.98%	+14.03%	+11.49%
2022	-4.73%	-2.52%	-6.38%	-13.05%	-4.03%	-1.42%	+1.67%	-5.15%	-10.20%	-9.80%	+10.08%	-3.79%
2021	-4.70%	-7.74%	-6.27%	+2.35%	-0.11%	+5.48%	+4.43%	-0.28%	-3.84%	+2.99%	+3.60%	-3.19%
2020	+10.32%	+8.24%	+8.03%	+1.85%	-3.23%	+0.47%	+5.78%	-6.73%	+1.07%	-4.90%	+2.42%	-5.56%
2019	+0.18%	-1.77%	+6.74%	-3.00%	+9.74%	+0.12%	+0.44%	+15.47%	-4.07%	-1.99%	-0.08%	-6.07%
2018	-4.27%	-4.29%	+3.38%	-2.77%	+2.33%	+0.61%	-2.21%	+1.65%	-4.84%	-4.61%	+2.18%	+7.27%
2017	+1.25%	+1.95%	-1.59%	+1.84%	+3.20%	+0.54%	-1.26%	+4.89%	-4.03%	+0.09%	+1.35%	+2.16%

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