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Election
61.32%
2008
78.05%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.25%
-1.61%
-1.03%
+3.31%
+0.39%
+0.49%
+3.02%
+0.60%
-1.18%
+0.42%
+3.34%
+1.88%
2026
-3.26%
+1.25%
-10.01%
+6.67%
-2.21%
+0.52%
+0.19%
-3.27%
--
2025
-3.67%
-7.02%
+7.79%
+3.68%
+2.07%
+2.62%
-5.73%
-2.15%
+0.94%
+4.50%
+0.56%
-0.34%
2024
+4.12%
+2.44%
-0.39%
+3.67%
+1.62%
+5.21%
+3.54%
-0.04%
+0.98%
-6.14%
+0.04%
-4.45%
2023
+0.83%
-5.02%
+1.06%
+4.79%
+0.21%
+5.07%
+5.11%
-1.04%
+1.55%
-2.42%
+6.89%
+6.94%
2022
+2.11%
-4.94%
+1.69%
-1.25%
-5.88%
-11.38%
+7.69%
+1.47%
-5.77%
+4.22%
+6.72%
-4.06%
2021
-1.92%
+7.19%
+2.64%
-1.40%
+8.91%
+0.03%
+2.33%
+5.63%
+2.19%
-4.08%
+1.50%
2020
-2.45%
-8.40%
-27.16%
+12.78%
+1.48%
+8.04%
+9.84%
+5.95%
+1.24%
0.00%
+12.20%
+10.31%
2019
-3.06%
-0.37%
+9.94%
-0.84%
+1.23%
-7.44%
-3.61%
+2.58%
+2.98%
+1.38%
2018
+3.74%
-6.99%
-2.38%
+2.06%
-3.89%
-2.14%
+6.40%
-10.14%
-6.84%
+8.77%
+1.51%
2017
+6.09%
+5.74%
+6.49%
+2.94%
+0.32%
-1.65%
+7.92%
-0.64%
-4.22%
+7.31%
-1.00%
+4.11%
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