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Election
81.95%
2020
81.94%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.25%
-0.33%
-3.71%
+1.99%
+1.27%
+4.79%
+5.19%
-0.12%
-2.68%
-1.61%
+5.73%
-0.73%
2026
-3.86%
-7.36%
-5.70%
+8.30%
-0.77%
+2.87%
+3.40%
+1.22%
-6.57%
--
2025
+6.03%
-2.47%
-10.04%
+1.53%
+10.02%
+2.74%
+2.52%
+3.66%
+3.83%
-2.88%
-0.38%
+1.00%
2024
-6.91%
+11.46%
+3.99%
-8.18%
+3.68%
-0.40%
+1.78%
+0.37%
+8.46%
+0.51%
+11.61%
-5.52%
2023
+25.06%
-9.11%
-0.32%
-5.45%
-3.48%
+14.64%
+14.89%
-9.36%
-7.98%
-6.31%
+16.96%
+10.87%
2022
-14.48%
-7.73%
-5.44%
-17.34%
-11.20%
-13.09%
+10.79%
-1.06%
-13.94%
+1.60%
+9.04%
-10.98%
2021
+8.43%
+5.35%
-4.91%
+0.82%
-4.42%
+8.38%
-6.80%
-4.13%
+1.23%
-10.86%
-10.71%
+0.12%
-4.55%
-15.42%
+29.68%
+18.89%
+9.80%
+20.01%
+7.91%
-3.04%
+0.58%
+19.06%
+8.21%
2019
+15.44%
+5.88%
-0.02%
+4.74%
-11.46%
+8.50%
+2.72%
-5.23%
-2.54%
+3.55%
+1.88%
+4.11%
2018
+9.10%
+2.40%
-1.29%
+5.32%
+8.25%
-0.71%
+6.51%
-4.06%
-15.75%
+3.13%
-11.17%
2017
+3.56%
+2.80%
+2.00%
+6.19%
+6.12%
+6.22%
+3.34%
-1.09%
+0.89%
+2.96%
+1.17%
+7.64%
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