State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (US78467Y1073) - Seasonality

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State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust (US78467Y1073) - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	60%	50%	67%	67%	100%	56%	56%	56%	89%	56%
Average return %	+2.15%	+0.48%	-2.50%	+1.42%	+1.16%	+0.95%	+3.43%	+0.01%	-1.92%	+0.64%	+5.17%	-0.45%
2026	+4.03%	+4.02%	-5.52%	+7.69%	+0.41%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+3.70%	-4.21%	-5.71%	-2.38%	+5.36%	+3.24%	+1.61%	+3.39%	+0.15%	-0.51%	+2.11%	-0.36%
2024	-1.74%	+5.91%	+5.38%	-6.05%	+4.48%	-2.03%	+5.80%	-0.14%	+0.77%	-0.71%	+8.89%	-7.51%
2023	+9.25%	-1.86%	-3.44%	-0.80%	-3.21%	+8.81%	+4.06%	-2.96%	-5.57%	-5.28%	+8.39%	+8.22%
2022	-7.27%	+1.12%	+1.03%	-7.06%	+0.75%	-9.96%	+10.92%	-3.17%	-9.55%	+10.48%	+6.02%	-5.89%
2021	+1.44%	+6.78%	+4.66%	+4.31%	+0.24%	-1.36%	+0.28%	+2.01%	-4.26%	+5.88%	-3.01%	+4.84%
2020	-2.64%	-9.40%	-20.60%	+14.05%	+7.24%	+0.92%	+4.66%	+3.47%	-3.58%	+2.20%	+14.30%	+6.10%
2019	+10.28%	+4.32%	-0.81%	+3.97%	-8.07%	+7.41%	+0.94%	-4.13%	+2.72%	+1.07%	+2.92%	+2.38%
2018	+2.78%	-4.43%	+0.73%	-0.36%	+4.12%	+0.14%	+1.70%	+3.16%	-1.35%	-9.61%	+3.19%	-11.69%
2017	+1.65%	+2.60%	-0.71%	+0.78%	-0.47%	+1.36%	+0.91%	-1.54%	+3.41%	+2.23%	+3.68%	-0.14%

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Correlation

Pre-election

95.13%

2008

87.84%

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