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Election
63.71%
2008
82.85%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.02%
+0.93%
-2.14%
+1.54%
+1.70%
+1.23%
+2.88%
+0.14%
-1.91%
+0.70%
+4.71%
-0.99%
2026
+3.96%
+5.77%
-5.58%
+8.05%
+5.08%
-4.72%
+1.08%
-2.79%
--
2025
+3.59%
-5.45%
-6.63%
-0.33%
+6.25%
+3.23%
+2.16%
+2.32%
+0.83%
+0.26%
+1.03%
-0.35%
2024
-0.34%
+9.57%
+5.64%
-6.05%
+4.23%
-1.66%
+4.43%
-0.87%
-1.24%
+8.86%
-7.89%
2023
+7.13%
-0.94%
-1.30%
-0.51%
-2.86%
+8.33%
+3.81%
-2.07%
-5.08%
-4.86%
+7.59%
+6.92%
2022
-10.27%
+1.00%
+0.43%
-7.76%
-0.70%
-10.31%
+12.70%
-3.36%
-9.10%
+9.43%
+5.63%
-6.34%
2021
+1.79%
+3.97%
+2.37%
+4.15%
-1.78%
+0.88%
+0.95%
+1.44%
-4.71%
+7.55%
-3.50%
+3.85%
2020
-8.34%
-17.14%
+14.08%
+8.72%
+1.28%
+6.12%
+3.21%
-2.58%
+1.17%
+12.44%
+6.20%
2019
+9.29%
+4.49%
+0.36%
+3.31%
-6.45%
+6.87%
+1.09%
-3.06%
+0.91%
+2.04%
2018
+4.28%
-3.87%
+4.09%
+0.17%
+1.33%
+3.86%
-1.57%
-10.28%
+3.39%
-11.66%
2017
+1.98%
+3.10%
-0.54%
+0.44%
+0.65%
+0.92%
-1.10%
+3.19%
+3.40%
+3.72%
-1.67%
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