First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (US33740J2033) - Seasonality

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First Trust Merger Arbitrage ETF (US33740J2033) - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

2024

88.33%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	67%	60%	71%	71%	71%	71%	71%	50%	50%	67%	60%
Average return %	-0.34%	+0.22%	-0.33%	+0.51%	-0.22%	-0.24%	+1.27%	+0.45%	-0.65%	+0.18%	+0.30%	-0.04%
2026	+0.39%	-0.10%	0.00%	+0.77%	+0.14%	-1.34%	+5.04%	-0.37%	-0.56%	--	--	--
2025	-0.45%	+1.21%	-0.30%	+0.40%	+1.25%	+0.69%	+1.22%	+0.34%	-2.22%	+0.54%	+1.37%	-0.24%
2024	-2.23%	+0.05%	+0.41%	-1.31%	+0.72%	-0.46%	+1.94%	+0.75%	-1.64%	-0.61%	+0.76%	+0.30%
2023	-0.45%	+0.20%	0.00%	+0.25%	-2.13%	+1.32%	-0.30%	+1.91%	-0.89%	-0.50%	+0.60%	0.00%
2022	+0.71%	+0.46%	+0.71%	-0.60%	+0.35%	-0.40%	+0.71%	+0.35%	+0.15%	+1.59%	-0.78%	-0.40%
2021	0.00%	-0.51%	+0.67%	+0.82%	+0.51%	-1.06%	-0.46%	+0.26%	+0.36%	-0.15%	-0.41%	+0.26%
2020	--	--	-3.80%	+3.22%	-2.37%	-0.41%	+0.72%	-0.10%	+0.31%	+0.21%	+0.26%	-0.15%

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