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Election
51.77%
2008
64.52%
Probability %
Average return %
+6.41%
-1.40%
-1.37%
+5.62%
+7.46%
+5.37%
+5.73%
+3.70%
-4.46%
+1.93%
+8.30%
-0.86%
2026
+1.85%
-5.19%
-10.28%
+32.87%
+21.48%
-1.73%
-13.53%
+7.85%
+0.84%
--
2025
+3.49%
-6.00%
-15.59%
-0.34%
+18.24%
+12.39%
+4.30%
+1.17%
+10.45%
+8.95%
-3.92%
-1.95%
2024
+2.89%
+10.03%
+1.67%
-9.33%
+12.36%
+12.01%
-4.31%
+1.09%
+4.29%
-2.40%
+10.11%
+0.02%
2023
+21.23%
-1.74%
+18.78%
+0.32%
+15.24%
+12.32%
+7.24%
-4.00%
-10.44%
-4.95%
+21.77%
+10.63%
2022
-17.21%
-9.53%
+7.86%
-26.03%
-4.74%
-18.27%
+25.59%
-10.84%
-20.96%
+6.60%
+9.77%
-18.32%
2021
+0.24%
-0.73%
+2.30%
+11.84%
-2.81%
+12.75%
+5.54%
+8.39%
-11.42%
+16.16%
+3.64%
+1.60%
2020
+5.64%
-11.80%
-21.13%
+30.63%
+12.30%
+14.90%
+22.77%
-11.98%
-6.72%
+22.59%
+9.81%
2019
+17.86%
+5.66%
+10.85%
-16.45%
+15.27%
+4.33%
-4.71%
+1.34%
+8.44%
+8.09%
+7.55%
2018
+17.90%
-3.43%
-8.63%
+0.21%
+11.31%
+1.69%
+5.09%
+11.71%
-0.79%
-17.79%
-1.16%
-17.89%
2017
+10.20%
+8.75%
+3.87%
+5.22%
+7.65%
-5.13%
+8.18%
+3.59%
-0.62%
+9.09%
+3.77%
+0.77%
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