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Election
67.58%
2008
75.83%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.13%
+0.45%
-2.62%
+1.48%
+1.28%
+1.25%
+2.84%
+0.05%
-1.88%
+0.62%
+5.16%
-0.62%
2026
+4.04%
+4.12%
-5.60%
+7.75%
+2.51%
+3.29%
-2.34%
+0.11%
-2.89%
--
2025
+3.71%
-4.21%
-5.80%
-2.42%
+5.51%
+3.21%
+1.60%
+3.37%
+0.14%
-0.49%
+2.11%
-0.34%
2024
-1.72%
+5.76%
+5.33%
-5.96%
+4.43%
-2.06%
+5.89%
-0.17%
+0.83%
-0.73%
+8.95%
-7.52%
2023
+9.29%
-1.85%
-3.62%
-0.75%
-3.14%
+8.64%
+4.16%
-2.97%
-5.58%
-5.30%
+8.51%
+8.27%
2022
-7.22%
+1.08%
+1.09%
-7.15%
+0.80%
-10.08%
+10.91%
-3.11%
-9.59%
+10.45%
+6.15%
-5.99%
2021
+1.53%
+6.68%
+4.57%
+4.41%
+0.19%
-1.38%
+0.32%
+1.98%
-4.43%
+5.87%
-2.95%
+4.87%
2020
-2.76%
-9.40%
-20.65%
+13.94%
+7.35%
+0.87%
+4.54%
+3.55%
-3.55%
+2.18%
+14.34%
+5.98%
2019
+10.61%
+4.24%
-1.74%
+3.87%
-8.15%
+7.14%
+1.06%
-4.18%
+2.73%
+1.39%
+3.00%
+2.37%
2018
-4.20%
+1.01%
+0.09%
+4.82%
+0.26%
+2.09%
+3.79%
-2.19%
-9.85%
-12.13%
2017
+1.12%
+2.31%
-0.78%
+0.99%
-1.50%
+2.58%
-1.87%
+4.76%
+2.07%
+3.56%
-1.10%
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