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Election
89.85%
2020
86.38%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.89%
-0.42%
-1.06%
+2.06%
+1.88%
+1.79%
+3.14%
+1.41%
-1.97%
+1.10%
+4.60%
-0.41%
2026
+1.31%
-0.86%
-5.61%
+10.48%
+5.40%
+0.31%
-0.74%
+3.41%
-1.83%
--
2025
+2.40%
-1.86%
-5.99%
-0.03%
+6.24%
+3.90%
+1.46%
+2.39%
+3.02%
+2.86%
+0.11%
-0.24%
2024
+0.76%
+4.65%
+3.01%
-4.38%
+4.66%
+2.14%
+3.08%
+1.74%
+6.44%
-3.19%
2023
-2.41%
+2.64%
+0.62%
-0.32%
+6.37%
+3.71%
-1.66%
-5.79%
-3.53%
+10.45%
+4.85%
2022
-7.08%
-4.35%
+2.54%
-8.54%
-0.09%
-8.81%
+9.64%
-4.31%
-10.34%
+8.81%
-6.31%
2021
-0.36%
+2.35%
+4.58%
+4.95%
+0.95%
+2.68%
+2.85%
+3.28%
-5.45%
+7.69%
-1.46%
+4.35%
-7.41%
-11.81%
+12.22%
+5.91%
+2.53%
+6.14%
+7.76%
-3.87%
-1.74%
+10.61%
+3.00%
2019
+7.91%
+4.29%
+1.86%
+3.43%
+7.25%
+1.82%
-2.35%
+2.01%
+1.78%
+3.74%
2018
+5.56%
-3.31%
-2.22%
+0.34%
+0.79%
+0.61%
+3.23%
+2.22%
+0.29%
-7.09%
+2.90%
-9.62%
2017
+1.63%
+4.68%
+0.37%
+1.49%
+2.33%
+0.22%
+1.19%
+0.67%
+3.12%
+2.26%
+0.80%
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