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Election
76.78%
2020
85.06%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.26%
-3.66%
-5.69%
+2.05%
+3.93%
-4.06%
-1.35%
-3.90%
+1.05%
-1.36%
+0.48%
-0.55%
2026
-1.10%
-8.89%
-12.20%
0.00%
-8.33%
-3.03%
+6.25%
-23.53%
--
2025
-1.61%
-6.56%
-6.14%
+6.54%
+0.93%
-7.41%
-5.00%
+7.37%
-10.78%
2024
-4.67%
-6.29%
+1.49%
-0.74%
-1.48%
+2.26%
-5.88%
-1.56%
+1.59%
-1.59%
2023
-6.10%
-1.30%
+1.32%
+3.90%
+7.50%
-4.07%
+3.03%
-8.24%
+5.13%
-4.27%
-5.73%
+1.35%
2022
-9.23%
-2.54%
-6.96%
-2.80%
-0.96%
+0.97%
-11.06%
-2.70%
+1.67%
-10.38%
2021
+0.92%
-13.64%
+3.16%
+8.16%
+13.21%
-4.17%
-3.48%
+2.70%
+16.67%
+0.75%
+2.99%
-5.80%
-3.73%
-51.94%
-3.36%
+17.36%
+10.06%
-11.29%
+2.50%
-1.22%
+9.88%
+22.47%
2019
-0.60%
+3.61%
+2.91%
+3.39%
+1.09%
-3.24%
+0.56%
-7.22%
-1.20%
-6.67%
+1.30%
+3.21%
2018
+8.99%
-3.33%
-2.30%
+5.29%
-3.35%
-3.47%
2017
-6.45%
-0.99%
+4.48%
+7.14%
+10.67%
-26.10%
+0.54%
+4.86%
-8.25%
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