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Pre-election
70.75%
2002
79.43%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.40%
-4.65%
-4.73%
+0.05%
+1.15%
+0.69%
+3.47%
+1.01%
+1.13%
-1.08%
-2.79%
+0.97%
2026
-2.67%
-2.74%
-7.04%
-3.03%
-1.56%
-5.71%
+7.74%
-6.25%
0.00%
--
2025
+4.17%
+6.67%
-15.00%
+2.94%
+7.14%
+2.50%
-4.88%
+8.97%
-5.88%
-7.50%
+1.35%
2024
-8.82%
-1.61%
+4.92%
+3.13%
+6.06%
-8.57%
+9.38%
+2.86%
2023
-11.22%
+3.45%
-6.67%
-11.90%
+2.70%
-7.89%
+14.29%
+6.25%
2022
+0.83%
-1.65%
-4.20%
+1.75%
-13.79%
-2.00%
+2.04%
+8.00%
-3.70%
-5.77%
2021
-6.78%
+1.82%
+1.79%
+0.88%
+7.83%
+11.48%
-2.94%
-4.55%
+3.17%
-10.77%
2020
+23.64%
-16.18%
-29.82%
+1.25%
+4.94%
+17.65%
+6.00%
+5.66%
+3.57%
+0.86%
+4.27%
-3.28%
2019
-3.19%
+3.30%
-2.13%
+1.09%
+7.53%
+8.16%
-8.49%
+5.15%
+7.84%
2018
+0.96%
-2.86%
+4.30%
-2.06%
+1.05%
-6.00%
+2.13%
-2.08%
2017
+12.62%
-15.52%
+4.08%
-1.96%
+1.00%
+16.83%
-5.08%
-1.79%
-3.64%
-1.89%
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