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Election
90.56%
2008
91.67%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.54%
-1.82%
-1.56%
-1.41%
+1.93%
+3.82%
+1.88%
+1.74%
-4.53%
+0.89%
+4.06%
-3.19%
2026
+3.24%
-26.05%
-15.03%
-44.41%
+6.91%
+21.14%
-1.49%
+11.66%
-0.01%
--
2025
+10.26%
-19.01%
+1.33%
+4.69%
-1.13%
+10.65%
+6.02%
-5.33%
-7.40%
+2.83%
-2.82%
-7.06%
2024
+1.95%
+15.01%
-3.61%
-3.68%
-0.78%
+2.97%
+3.87%
-12.94%
-6.09%
+0.40%
+7.42%
-4.72%
2023
+4.08%
+4.60%
+6.51%
+4.20%
-1.31%
-5.89%
+4.41%
+13.51%
-5.96%
-5.67%
+13.37%
+9.39%
2022
-10.91%
+15.76%
+1.09%
+2.84%
-3.78%
-10.88%
+7.82%
+0.03%
-9.22%
+2.66%
+7.18%
-4.63%
2021
+4.47%
+7.08%
-0.21%
+5.47%
+2.04%
+10.85%
-2.52%
-4.95%
-5.49%
+0.02%
-1.20%
-0.77%
2020
+7.27%
-13.89%
-9.70%
-1.57%
+4.61%
-2.11%
+0.68%
+1.01%
+3.04%
+7.16%
+3.88%
-14.25%
2019
+11.44%
-11.85%
+1.63%
+8.11%
+6.83%
+3.35%
+6.53%
-1.07%
-4.52%
+10.61%
-3.96%
2018
+1.45%
+5.86%
-1.24%
+6.85%
+1.08%
+2.05%
+1.59%
+6.12%
-7.03%
-11.49%
-4.67%
+2.53%
2017
+2.14%
+4.30%
+3.58%
+3.44%
+4.80%
+6.04%
-8.11%
+9.35%
+1.92%
+10.50%
+2.73%
-5.25%
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