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Election
89.15%
2012
89.46%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.37%
+3.46%
-3.65%
+5.91%
+2.25%
+0.28%
+2.21%
+3.45%
-4.03%
-3.18%
+6.17%
-0.42%
2026
-4.63%
+3.24%
-10.98%
-2.20%
+3.15%
+2.62%
-0.43%
+11.11%
+2.31%
--
2025
+4.91%
-8.27%
+1.96%
0.00%
+8.08%
-3.20%
+5.88%
-3.47%
-0.36%
-7.94%
+5.49%
-3.16%
2024
-3.35%
+3.08%
+1.49%
-0.74%
+3.33%
-0.72%
+1.81%
+2.13%
+2.08%
-7.14%
-7.99%
2023
+3.80%
-2.56%
-10.53%
+1.68%
+7.44%
-0.38%
+6.56%
-5.07%
-7.25%
-7.82%
+9.82%
+9.35%
2022
-3.82%
+11.19%
+3.90%
-6.25%
-16.00%
+8.33%
+2.56%
-3.21%
-0.37%
+2.22%
-4.71%
2021
-5.53%
-1.80%
+0.92%
+29.55%
-4.35%
-3.79%
+4.33%
+4.15%
-2.90%
+8.21%
+7.93%
2020
+11.27%
-25.11%
+10.00%
+4.28%
+12.82%
-5.00%
+23.44%
-18.99%
-1.91%
+16.59%
-1.67%
2019
+8.38%
+19.89%
+2.30%
+1.35%
-0.89%
+4.48%
+3.86%
-14.46%
-5.80%
-5.13%
+14.59%
-5.19%
2018
-3.33%
+5.52%
-5.23%
+9.66%
+2.52%
+3.68%
+10.06%
+3.76%
-2.59%
-4.26%
-5.56%
-1.76%
2017
-7.44%
+8.04%
-2.48%
+5.93%
+4.00%
+3.85%
+10.16%
+8.89%
-1.36%
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