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Election
96.56%
2020
93.25%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.83%
+0.85%
-4.25%
+2.73%
-1.89%
+0.67%
+2.21%
+1.40%
-1.62%
-1.50%
+1.77%
+0.99%
2026
-2.14%
+1.82%
-5.00%
+4.89%
-6.09%
-1.15%
+1.16%
+6.11%
+0.72%
--
2025
-2.72%
-0.35%
-1.05%
+4.61%
0.00%
+3.05%
-2.30%
+3.37%
-2.61%
-2.01%
-1.02%
-3.10%
2024
+4.23%
-1.44%
-2.20%
+1.12%
+5.56%
-1.75%
+8.57%
-0.67%
-0.34%
2023
-2.80%
-3.60%
-6.72%
+2.40%
-8.59%
-5.56%
+11.76%
+5.26%
2022
-5.29%
+1.76%
+0.29%
-9.48%
-9.21%
+8.39%
-2.90%
-10.30%
+3.70%
+1.79%
+0.35%
2021
-1.13%
-2.29%
+1.75%
+3.45%
+3.33%
-1.34%
-1.36%
-2.76%
-3.41%
+4.12%
+1.41%
+6.30%
-23.01%
+13.88%
+4.37%
+1.80%
+2.65%
+8.31%
+1.85%
-4.42%
+0.27%
-4.07%
2019
+0.70%
+6.64%
-0.33%
-1.64%
+4.70%
+5.77%
+3.03%
-1.47%
+2.99%
2018
-7.43%
-3.28%
+2.26%
+2.58%
-1.43%
+2.16%
2017
-3.39%
-1.06%
+6.09%
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