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Election
87.25%
2009
85.46%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.36%
+0.85%
-2.30%
+1.97%
+0.69%
-1.77%
+3.04%
+3.68%
-0.23%
+1.68%
+0.96%
+0.36%
2026
-7.04%
-3.03%
-9.38%
-1.38%
-2.10%
+2.86%
0.00%
-4.48%
--
2025
-0.27%
+0.80%
-1.85%
+3.49%
+0.26%
-2.33%
-2.65%
+2.72%
-1.84%
-0.54%
-4.31%
2024
+2.79%
+3.05%
-1.97%
+4.36%
+1.29%
-1.90%
+4.21%
+1.86%
+5.79%
+4.03%
+4.43%
2023
+3.14%
-6.96%
-0.93%
+8.02%
+4.37%
+4.18%
-3.21%
+21.58%
-1.02%
-8.97%
+3.41%
+5.13%
2022
+4.92%
+3.52%
-1.89%
+2.69%
-16.85%
-6.31%
+12.02%
+5.15%
-10.20%
+6.36%
+4.70%
-8.98%
2021
-10.65%
+3.11%
+8.54%
+0.46%
+5.99%
+3.91%
+2.51%
+4.08%
+1.18%
-3.10%
-2.40%
2020
-0.46%
-5.58%
-15.76%
+7.02%
+0.55%
-11.41%
+18.40%
+3.63%
-1.00%
+7.58%
-0.47%
+1.89%
2019
-3.86%
-1.01%
-0.51%
+0.51%
-3.55%
-4.74%
-2.76%
+5.11%
+1.62%
+4.26%
+10.20%
2018
+6.54%
-1.32%
-0.89%
-4.93%
-2.83%
+0.97%
-1.44%
-0.98%
+0.49%
+2.94%
-1.43%
2017
+15.92%
+1.65%
+15.68%
-6.07%
+13.93%
-2.18%
+0.45%
-2.22%
-2.73%
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