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Election
62.25%
2009
72.06%
Probability %
Average return %
-13.27%
-10.50%
-1.12%
+2.61%
-7.82%
-8.50%
+7.35%
-1.65%
+5.85%
+4.17%
+13.70%
-7.14%
2026
-32.35%
-26.09%
-11.76%
-6.67%
-50.00%
-28.57%
-10.00%
+11.11%
0.00%
--
2025
+5.77%
-21.82%
-4.65%
-7.32%
-21.05%
+16.67%
+34.29%
-17.02%
-5.13%
+2.70%
-10.53%
2024
-24.14%
-24.55%
+10.84%
-8.70%
-9.52%
-5.26%
-13.89%
-22.58%
-1.79%
-7.27%
+1.96%
2023
-22.78%
-1.64%
+75.00%
+76.19%
-24.32%
+28.57%
+8.33%
-7.69%
-2.78%
-34.29%
+21.74%
+3.57%
2022
-8.57%
-9.38%
-17.24%
-29.17%
-28.24%
+21.31%
-5.41%
+41.27%
+3.37%
-14.13%
2021
-8.00%
+8.70%
+13.04%
-19.23%
+31.58%
+48.00%
-8.11%
+2.94%
2020
-21.21%
-38.46%
-50.01%
+1.07%
+105.13%
-22.50%
+20.97%
-1.45%
+23.53%
+96.43%
-24.24%
2019
+18.42%
-14.00%
+20.93%
-40.39%
-25.81%
+27.47%
-6.90%
+33.34%
-22.23%
+21.43%
-2.94%
2018
-21.18%
-5.00%
-1.97%
-24.83%
-5.36%
-25.47%
+2.53%
+18.52%
-5.21%
-12.09%
-36.25%
-25.49%
2017
-27.18%
+1.33%
+0.69%
-16.55%
+24.79%
-7.95%
-10.07%
+27.20%
-7.55%
+31.97%
+4.64%
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