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Election
58.35%
2011
78.48%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.43%
-0.11%
-2.13%
-3.09%
+0.88%
-6.09%
+0.87%
-1.31%
+4.44%
-0.46%
+3.84%
+0.28%
2026
-2.27%
-4.65%
-2.44%
-2.50%
-7.69%
-2.78%
0.00%
-5.71%
--
2025
+5.17%
-13.11%
+5.66%
+5.36%
-16.95%
+4.08%
-7.06%
-7.17%
2024
-2.33%
+2.38%
-4.76%
-12.50%
+1.45%
-10.00%
+1.59%
+4.69%
-14.33%
+1.05%
2023
+8.93%
-6.56%
+5.26%
-6.67%
+10.71%
-6.45%
+3.45%
+5.00%
+15.87%
-2.74%
+8.45%
+11.69%
2022
-7.58%
+1.64%
-4.84%
-5.08%
-1.79%
+5.45%
+6.67%
-4.69%
-8.20%
2021
+13.51%
+14.29%
-8.33%
+13.64%
-8.00%
-4.35%
+11.36%
+16.33%
+10.53%
2020
-8.11%
-35.71%
+1.97%
+2.70%
-34.30%
+24.17%
-12.91%
+23.30%
-3.12%
+19.35%
2019
-11.96%
+9.16%
-7.26%
-3.66%
-3.80%
-8.98%
-1.12%
-7.53%
-0.87%
-3.03%
+15.62%
2018
-7.77%
+4.65%
+11.11%
-6.00%
-1.82%
+7.28%
-9.09%
-3.33%
-2.77%
-11.34%
+19.20%
-1.08%
2017
-1.92%
+21.36%
-5.88%
+7.27%
-1.70%
-3.45%
-0.44%
-10.32%
+2.40%
-1.02%
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