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Election
85.48%
2020
83.70%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.63%
-3.45%
+2.04%
+6.75%
+6.53%
+0.93%
+3.08%
+4.22%
-2.32%
+1.21%
+1.59%
+1.33%
2026
-17.78%
-11.32%
-9.65%
+6.55%
-6.08%
-3.92%
-3.07%
+18.39%
-24.24%
--
2025
+8.73%
-6.84%
-9.36%
+6.10%
+12.24%
-2.44%
+0.66%
-9.61%
-3.72%
-7.94%
-15.69%
-7.12%
2024
-1.34%
+14.91%
+4.72%
-8.43%
+10.58%
+1.04%
+1.30%
+3.37%
+4.62%
+0.04%
+16.29%
-3.04%
2023
+9.29%
+1.17%
+15.08%
+4.38%
+17.80%
+8.17%
+2.76%
+2.36%
-10.13%
-5.11%
-3.41%
+8.98%
2022
-20.17%
-16.99%
+9.62%
-6.23%
-7.33%
-13.81%
+20.83%
-5.64%
-16.23%
+6.20%
-9.52%
-0.52%
2021
-11.53%
-8.82%
+6.84%
+11.88%
-6.29%
+3.35%
+2.32%
+8.23%
-8.44%
+7.56%
-3.12%
-2.35%
+6.97%
-13.94%
-7.79%
+17.11%
+7.22%
+5.68%
-0.19%
+12.26%
-0.22%
+9.33%
+20.29%
+10.81%
2019
+3.59%
+9.12%
+2.42%
+11.92%
+9.84%
+0.22%
+8.31%
-2.23%
-1.86%
+10.76%
+17.81%
-1.57%
2018
+9.80%
+0.92%
+5.29%
+13.73%
+7.73%
+9.86%
-4.91%
+19.32%
-4.05%
-18.82%
+0.25%
+5.37%
2017
+6.18%
-2.72%
+3.19%
+10.50%
+19.60%
+1.13%
+2.81%
-4.22%
+19.19%
+8.84%
-8.58%
+1.45%
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