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Election
87.83%
2020
87.94%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.39%
+1.21%
+2.08%
-0.48%
+0.13%
+0.51%
-5.76%
+0.49%
+2.38%
+2.14%
-1.30%
-2.35%
2026
-10.77%
-3.47%
+9.10%
-7.88%
-0.80%
+9.33%
-5.23%
-3.78%
+1.31%
--
2025
+0.36%
-0.14%
-2.15%
-3.65%
-1.21%
-3.84%
+0.40%
-1.43%
-3.79%
+2.35%
+0.82%
-5.61%
2024
+11.31%
+2.16%
-0.08%
+0.94%
-3.73%
+0.89%
-0.64%
-10.62%
-4.86%
+15.23%
+2.05%
+12.23%
2023
-8.75%
+10.80%
+0.67%
+3.59%
+4.75%
-3.69%
-6.87%
+8.06%
+1.35%
+3.99%
-9.26%
-6.80%
2022
+6.86%
-4.79%
-8.63%
+11.41%
-1.85%
+9.08%
-9.81%
+3.02%
+13.75%
+2.96%
-8.56%
-2.49%
2021
+1.55%
-5.71%
+7.03%
-4.65%
+1.17%
+6.39%
+3.54%
+1.71%
+3.93%
-10.07%
+12.90%
-3.10%
+9.91%
+4.58%
+8.49%
-13.70%
-2.75%
-8.83%
-11.40%
-4.99%
+8.84%
+1.44%
-10.34%
-10.14%
2019
-7.02%
+4.60%
+1.97%
+0.58%
+5.56%
-2.79%
-13.33%
+6.04%
-0.68%
-5.26%
+4.90%
-7.14%
2018
-7.01%
+7.62%
+3.65%
+3.23%
-0.43%
+6.07%
-4.92%
+5.10%
+1.08%
+4.13%
-6.98%
+7.91%
2017
-10.30%
-3.51%
+0.71%
+5.30%
+0.60%
-7.54%
-9.39%
+1.83%
+1.80%
+4.46%
+2.80%
-6.01%
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