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Election
73.11%
2020
79.01%
Probability %
Average return %
+5.17%
-4.19%
-2.41%
+3.30%
+2.77%
+3.34%
+13.93%
+8.59%
-10.56%
+0.10%
+0.73%
+5.56%
2026
-4.14%
-7.91%
-0.78%
+2.36%
-2.31%
+1.57%
-1.94%
+8.70%
-8.36%
--
2025
-4.38%
-2.61%
-2.68%
+3.45%
+37.33%
+1.46%
+45.45%
-5.92%
-5.24%
+17.34%
-5.03%
-3.97%
2024
+14.29%
-3.12%
+0.81%
+4.80%
+1.53%
-5.26%
+16.67%
+13.61%
-7.19%
-7.74%
-3.50%
+15.94%
2023
-1.76%
+0.75%
-8.59%
+0.49%
+15.81%
+29.53%
+12.90%
+13.33%
-11.76%
+7.62%
0.00%
-0.88%
2022
+8.33%
-8.00%
+5.23%
-8.19%
-21.97%
+22.04%
+2.84%
-8.29%
+10.46%
+4.01%
+5.25%
2021
-4.21%
-1.10%
+11.11%
+10.00%
+0.61%
+29.22%
-1.86%
+60.10%
-12.46%
+10.17%
-7.69%
-5.44%
-14.00%
-32.85%
+13.42%
+3.05%
-3.70%
-4.23%
+6.83%
-17.29%
-5.45%
+11.54%
+22.84%
2019
+9.75%
-12.78%
-1.28%
+8.71%
+5.28%
+29.03%
-3.61%
-15.00%
+15.88%
+0.76%
+6.55%
2018
+51.52%
-7.20%
-7.18%
+1.24%
-8.26%
-8.33%
-7.27%
-2.74%
-18.15%
-19.95%
-6.77%
+8.25%
2017
-12.31%
+14.03%
+8.62%
-16.71%
-18.71%
+5.65%
+28.51%
-7.24%
+0.33%
-17.22%
-4.60%
+3.77%
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