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Election
93.53%
2008
92.17%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.22%
-2.25%
-0.96%
-1.30%
-0.59%
-0.22%
-0.34%
+0.48%
-9.08%
-2.60%
+2.13%
-1.16%
2026
+1.17%
-6.68%
-0.25%
-5.45%
-2.62%
-4.57%
+2.82%
+4.11%
-5.26%
--
2025
-15.10%
+6.13%
-3.76%
+3.60%
+4.35%
+7.78%
-1.03%
+23.18%
-12.90%
+1.94%
+3.57%
-1.38%
2024
-5.47%
-16.60%
+8.80%
-4.26%
+2.44%
-4.56%
0.00%
-2.50%
-1.86%
-1.43%
-7.23%
-0.26%
2023
-4.99%
+1.54%
-11.85%
-14.48%
+1.61%
+17.46%
-10.17%
-10.75%
-10.15%
+16.00%
+11.16%
2022
+1.21%
-1.20%
+5.45%
-2.87%
-2.68%
-1.83%
-1.25%
-45.24%
-3.23%
-3.81%
-15.59%
2021
+1.99%
+1.40%
+0.83%
+0.82%
-1.63%
-2.23%
-2.29%
-0.58%
+0.59%
-3.80%
+0.30%
2020
-3.70%
-6.84%
-10.55%
+4.62%
+1.96%
-4.81%
-2.78%
-0.52%
-6.01%
-9.72%
+6.15%
+1.74%
2019
-0.41%
+4.96%
-5.91%
-4.18%
+1.75%
-3.43%
-0.89%
+0.45%
+8.04%
+0.41%
2018
+5.72%
-0.66%
-0.67%
-1.01%
-3.05%
-4.90%
+0.37%
-2.56%
-2.26%
-0.77%
-5.49%
2017
-3.84%
+0.77%
+2.42%
+1.11%
-2.43%
-0.17%
+0.20%
-1.19%
-1.07%
+1.39%
-1.32%
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