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Election
59.92%
2009
73.50%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.25%
+1.84%
-4.38%
+2.13%
+1.92%
-5.97%
-2.53%
-0.22%
-6.31%
-2.01%
+3.13%
+0.91%
2026
+6.06%
-11.43%
-9.68%
+1.43%
+9.15%
-2.58%
-4.64%
+4.17%
-2.00%
--
2025
-2.69%
-1.10%
+0.56%
+1.67%
+8.74%
-5.64%
-2.72%
-1.12%
-3.39%
-6.43%
+3.12%
2024
-8.17%
-13.14%
+3.90%
+3.29%
+9.55%
-12.03%
-6.60%
+4.55%
-3.38%
-1.50%
+1.52%
-7.00%
2023
0.00%
+7.72%
-3.58%
+5.41%
-12.50%
-2.56%
-1.13%
+6.08%
-10.39%
-7.20%
+6.03%
+4.47%
2022
-3.29%
+2.55%
+11.33%
-9.43%
-8.49%
-0.60%
-6.33%
-18.01%
+8.24%
+2.17%
+1.06%
2021
+2.82%
+20.78%
+8.77%
-2.44%
+14.69%
-2.18%
-7.24%
+9.91%
-8.20%
+8.63%
2020
+5.76%
-1.56%
-42.69%
+21.38%
+12.50%
-9.09%
+30.56%
+7.66%
+1.98%
-26.74%
+25.40%
+4.64%
2019
+8.93%
+14.51%
+1.93%
-14.05%
-1.26%
-4.14%
-9.97%
-15.13%
+1.74%
+0.43%
+3.40%
2018
+12.75%
-0.89%
-10.66%
-10.08%
-10.78%
-36.02%
+0.99%
-1.43%
+16.67%
-9.63%
2017
+0.29%
+1.00%
-1.70%
+6.34%
+8.40%
-8.50%
-11.75%
-4.49%
+4.70%
+2.32%
-9.38%
-0.50%
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