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Election
91.33%
2008
94.88%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.36%
-2.50%
-1.02%
+1.45%
+4.40%
-1.37%
+3.11%
-3.09%
+0.70%
+0.74%
-0.37%
+0.91%
2026
+12.29%
-10.35%
-10.21%
+6.18%
+47.15%
-19.94%
+6.72%
+9.54%
-10.74%
-11.84%
--
2025
-1.71%
-10.52%
+9.02%
-16.23%
+20.63%
+29.33%
+11.78%
-4.37%
+13.27%
+9.46%
-8.40%
+18.15%
2024
-14.98%
-8.88%
+3.68%
+4.30%
-13.09%
-22.61%
-9.55%
-10.17%
+2.28%
-5.92%
-7.02%
-2.35%
2023
+0.90%
-8.84%
-1.14%
-4.65%
-12.63%
-1.58%
+5.20%
-9.10%
-8.26%
0.00%
+9.27%
+1.51%
2022
-6.52%
+9.78%
+7.28%
-6.17%
+12.08%
-19.50%
+6.12%
-5.10%
+10.69%
+2.55%
+0.35%
2021
+19.04%
+4.04%
-7.05%
-2.95%
+4.95%
+6.62%
-8.07%
-3.24%
-13.25%
-16.88%
2020
-4.13%
-9.14%
-15.67%
+23.74%
+1.09%
-4.70%
-3.63%
-7.64%
-7.06%
+13.71%
+4.58%
2019
+5.71%
+3.12%
+4.18%
-12.86%
+5.62%
+0.85%
+1.86%
+19.54%
+6.76%
+5.44%
+11.24%
2018
+7.35%
+9.82%
-7.72%
+7.76%
+4.63%
+1.55%
+1.73%
-3.92%
+0.27%
-13.66%
-7.86%
-9.03%
2017
-4.36%
-4.02%
+7.40%
+0.67%
+9.67%
+3.29%
+11.46%
-7.54%
+11.50%
+9.66%
+2.19%
+0.64%
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