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Election
91.23%
2008
78.85%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.30%
-12.73%
-6.17%
+10.32%
-4.37%
+6.00%
-3.11%
+1.19%
+0.12%
-12.18%
+22.07%
+21.40%
2026
-6.32%
-10.22%
-1.15%
+26.72%
-1.37%
-0.64%
+35.30%
-0.60%
+10.85%
--
2025
+1.03%
-16.43%
-10.84%
+9.56%
+7.08%
+0.97%
-4.04%
-5.50%
-5.07%
-18.61%
-3.25%
-2.12%
2024
+25.11%
-20.79%
-19.02%
-1.47%
-10.31%
+4.59%
+1.37%
-5.00%
-8.60%
-12.99%
+2.54%
-2.02%
2023
-6.75%
-15.66%
-14.32%
+20.65%
-6.16%
+8.62%
+3.35%
+23.33%
-10.05%
+27.58%
+6.11%
2022
-17.97%
-33.70%
-0.19%
+12.56%
-18.69%
-11.38%
+2.88%
+3.15%
-0.68%
+0.11%
-3.41%
-4.00%
2021
+2.15%
-7.07%
+20.39%
+6.45%
+10.48%
+13.14%
-5.76%
-8.25%
0.00%
-53.12%
+148.32%
2020
+13.07%
-13.78%
-31.96%
+21.97%
+2.48%
+67.27%
-13.77%
+58.82%
-10.85%
-11.87%
+14.48%
+91.47%
2019
-8.79%
+3.01%
+11.11%
-0.79%
-7.16%
-6.00%
-31.00%
-23.79%
+17.34%
-2.96%
-0.51%
+1.53%
2018
-23.85%
-4.57%
-14.02%
-1.99%
-2.64%
-10.00%
-17.13%
+1.40%
-8.26%
+1.20%
+11.28%
-2.93%
2017
-0.71%
-8.05%
-1.75%
+9.50%
-17.36%
-6.56%
-2.34%
-2.16%
-6.13%
-1.31%
+1.59%
+109.64%
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