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Election
57.72%
2012
87.47%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.75%
-5.86%
-1.88%
+14.30%
-1.18%
+11.07%
+0.22%
+6.84%
+0.97%
-3.01%
-1.11%
+6.55%
2026
-13.47%
-1.73%
-18.23%
+22.10%
+12.39%
+4.49%
-8.69%
-5.97%
-2.50%
--
2025
-15.20%
-20.86%
+2.45%
-0.73%
+19.83%
+8.29%
+2.03%
-0.44%
-2.71%
-0.70%
-12.28%
-7.43%
2024
+20.70%
-6.89%
-7.95%
+8.64%
-5.12%
+28.61%
+10.16%
-7.14%
+4.21%
+4.38%
-10.03%
-10.65%
2023
-7.82%
-9.79%
-13.81%
+62.13%
-9.81%
+30.05%
+4.61%
+16.64%
+9.03%
+11.03%
-3.13%
-0.42%
2022
-0.46%
-11.49%
+1.55%
+26.29%
-15.49%
-9.31%
+3.53%
+1.73%
-4.05%
-15.05%
+0.25%
-3.06%
2021
-7.41%
+0.47%
-5.67%
-5.23%
+20.39%
+8.22%
+21.16%
-11.91%
+1.85%
-1.71%
-9.93%
+32.17%
2020
+19.18%
-26.89%
-33.67%
+12.66%
-7.56%
+51.57%
-18.40%
+16.19%
-8.39%
-1.75%
+15.07%
+12.11%
2019
-1.45%
-1.83%
+22.66%
-16.62%
+13.14%
-15.42%
-33.97%
+18.06%
-7.44%
+4.63%
+1.17%
-3.71%
2018
-17.89%
+13.50%
+29.66%
-22.35%
-8.57%
+18.27%
+3.76%
-37.83%
-37.80%
-5.02%
+14.60%
2017
+16.30%
+6.92%
+41.28%
+4.10%
-17.19%
+12.79%
+3.47%
+37.49%
+54.05%
+9.87%
+13.92%
+25.37%
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