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Election
81.34%
2014
92.25%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.22%
-6.06%
-3.16%
+6.76%
+0.55%
+6.81%
+7.23%
+10.59%
+8.10%
-7.01%
-4.65%
+4.69%
2026
-11.42%
+18.83%
+0.35%
-2.72%
+9.99%
+18.92%
-20.91%
+43.68%
+6.48%
--
2025
-13.79%
-27.47%
-9.96%
+26.05%
-17.65%
+1.37%
+15.28%
-7.10%
+0.90%
+5.25%
-9.18%
+2.18%
2024
-3.04%
-6.52%
-15.16%
+0.33%
+0.05%
+30.37%
-9.93%
+15.58%
-1.25%
-14.43%
+34.19%
2023
-9.45%
-17.58%
-0.04%
+0.98%
+2.25%
+10.51%
-16.02%
+22.69%
-9.23%
+2.21%
-7.05%
+4.04%
2022
+4.56%
-13.51%
-3.02%
+3.38%
+2.76%
-10.02%
+3.26%
+12.37%
+43.09%
-9.66%
+6.70%
+2.38%
2021
+20.00%
+20.16%
-3.59%
+32.21%
+27.92%
-16.80%
-23.26%
+43.64%
-12.24%
-17.31%
+27.62%
2020
-4.93%
-9.54%
+8.53%
0.00%
-4.29%
+11.94%
+42.00%
+42.72%
-10.53%
-24.12%
+6.59%
-6.82%
2019
-14.40%
-4.71%
-7.18%
+20.28%
-33.30%
+45.34%
-14.46%
-0.51%
+16.09%
-4.84%
-13.29%
2018
+25.24%
+4.85%
-18.29%
-13.96%
-7.16%
+45.98%
+12.84%
+5.35%
+12.07%
-15.87%
-4.72%
2017
+29.82%
-15.44%
+14.34%
+28.51%
-28.64%
+9.15%
-6.77%
+8.34%
-5.30%
-10.35%
-3.39%
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