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Election
58.74%
2004
92.14%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.43%
+6.00%
-3.43%
+3.17%
+1.74%
+2.32%
+10.57%
+2.53%
+5.92%
+9.96%
+12.64%
-1.93%
2026
-17.60%
+25.85%
+1.69%
-1.85%
-5.96%
-9.49%
-1.86%
-5.50%
-6.60%
--
2025
-24.71%
-7.70%
-8.95%
+11.15%
+12.87%
-17.66%
+1.89%
-15.41%
-8.17%
+29.87%
-8.36%
-8.35%
2024
+16.10%
+0.64%
-8.03%
+10.77%
+13.18%
-0.89%
+15.16%
+7.96%
+21.22%
+23.38%
-18.37%
-8.86%
2023
-1.51%
+9.74%
-3.74%
+7.91%
-3.48%
+4.24%
+10.44%
+7.47%
+2.35%
+4.60%
+8.26%
+6.31%
2022
+3.67%
-20.75%
+8.69%
+19.87%
-8.15%
-19.35%
+18.87%
+6.10%
+2.78%
+26.33%
+20.00%
-7.19%
2021
+17.68%
-3.76%
+18.05%
+3.72%
-20.72%
+57.29%
+23.96%
-6.96%
+10.80%
+56.50%
+50.16%
+7.34%
2020
0.00%
-4.90%
-26.47%
+5.00%
-2.86%
+27.45%
+3.08%
+11.19%
+39.60%
-17.31%
+46.51%
-28.17%
2019
-4.92%
+13.79%
+6.06%
+4.29%
-29.45%
-4.66%
+0.81%
+8.08%
+15.89%
+15.32%
2018
-6.25%
+22.67%
-8.70%
-10.12%
-11.92%
-2.26%
+36.15%
+15.25%
+2.94%
-19.52%
-15.98%
-14.08%
2017
-36.71%
+24.43%
-12.88%
-19.01%
+73.91%
-11.50%
-2.82%
+5.23%
-18.23%
-22.30%
+15.65%
+20.30%
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