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Election
44.86%
2008
86.10%
Probability %
Average return %
+16.91%
-9.17%
+0.19%
+4.11%
-11.37%
+7.84%
+7.29%
+3.86%
+6.65%
+4.88%
+11.35%
+11.21%
2026
-0.97%
+53.63%
-16.41%
+1.57%
-7.42%
+14.96%
-6.47%
-22.32%
+1.67%
--
2025
+7.01%
-24.48%
-34.85%
+14.73%
-0.90%
+4.33%
+0.41%
+14.64%
+2.74%
-11.23%
+67.91%
-6.78%
2024
-5.46%
+1.16%
-5.58%
+12.63%
-9.31%
+2.47%
+27.35%
-8.79%
-2.85%
+5.35%
-19.05%
-6.38%
2023
+37.08%
-27.82%
+11.30%
+5.07%
+16.48%
+22.15%
-9.38%
-4.63%
+8.23%
+9.99%
+30.01%
+23.02%
2022
+10.47%
-34.74%
+15.05%
+48.41%
-22.23%
-18.23%
-15.50%
+51.60%
+1.17%
-17.98%
+43.09%
2021
+8.89%
-18.05%
+33.74%
-3.01%
-14.96%
+2.85%
+38.21%
-7.92%
-17.43%
+36.36%
-13.98%
+61.25%
2020
+40.58%
-32.04%
+0.59%
-30.84%
+87.50%
+21.21%
-14.50%
+25.29%
+1.05%
-25.17%
-1.08%
2019
+45.43%
-20.69%
-28.39%
-12.00%
-32.14%
-28.35%
-17.86%
+34.15%
-26.38%
+7.64%
-18.77%
2018
-3.90%
+26.43%
-16.75%
+4.85%
+8.71%
-14.39%
+3.07%
+69.36%
-9.55%
-12.04%
+88.21%
-5.20%
2017
+29.94%
-15.10%
+40.91%
-31.71%
-21.05%
-12.14%
+34.63%
-5.92%
-19.35%
+39.62%
-15.42%
+11.77%
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