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Election
76.24%
2020
80.87%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.02%
+5.74%
+15.04%
+1.07%
-5.71%
+3.33%
+7.36%
-9.28%
+7.62%
-0.29%
-3.72%
+5.63%
2026
-2.44%
+7.73%
-12.45%
+18.80%
+12.05%
-8.06%
-5.26%
-3.29%
+2.34%
--
2025
-3.22%
-7.13%
-11.95%
+0.19%
-2.13%
-1.78%
+59.36%
-23.11%
-1.64%
-9.02%
-7.52%
-10.52%
2024
+2.82%
-8.22%
-12.99%
+8.92%
-4.09%
+0.49%
+3.76%
-0.47%
+2.85%
+10.46%
-8.77%
-0.46%
2023
-14.02%
-1.02%
-9.41%
+13.15%
-4.02%
-4.19%
-6.08%
+1.66%
+5.56%
+4.49%
+3.56%
+1.57%
2022
+77.50%
+73.13%
+173.47%
-30.89%
-48.68%
-40.00%
+24.84%
-14.38%
-13.08%
+5.79%
-11.71%
-0.99%
2021
-15.50%
-7.10%
+26.75%
+0.50%
-14.50%
+91.81%
+4.88%
-11.34%
-10.49%
+4.03%
+7.39%
+70.49%
0.00%
-2.99%
-4.92%
-2.91%
-41.83%
-37.54%
+0.92%
-1.82%
-7.41%
2019
-4.96%
+4.30%
-5.00%
-2.05%
2018
+122.96%
-14.05%
-9.63%
2017
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