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Election
89.90%
2013
88.03%
Probability %
Average return %
-10.03%
+1.95%
-0.05%
+9.41%
-1.20%
+0.77%
+3.27%
-6.43%
+15.65%
-1.07%
+5.80%
+3.84%
2026
-11.28%
-5.13%
+6.38%
+23.88%
+4.92%
-4.14%
-17.86%
-0.79%
+6.61%
--
2025
-35.80%
+20.62%
-10.14%
+34.61%
-2.06%
-6.67%
-0.47%
-12.57%
+3.57%
+14.40%
-3.92%
-13.80%
2024
-11.63%
+3.00%
-2.91%
-3.93%
-4.17%
+2.34%
+10.95%
-10.09%
+62.16%
-20.76%
+3.76%
-7.68%
2023
-18.32%
+6.41%
-13.25%
+5.56%
+5.26%
+31.62%
-0.76%
-14.83%
+31.01%
+2.32%
-5.28%
+30.09%
2022
+51.67%
-12.25%
-6.76%
-2.81%
-9.87%
+12.02%
-0.95%
+2.14%
-9.02%
+9.05%
+25.82%
2021
-28.65%
+9.19%
+25.48%
+25.86%
-9.44%
+1.51%
+48.84%
-28.03%
+19.78%
-24.90%
+1.03%
+17.18%
2020
-16.75%
-16.04%
+20.60%
0.00%
+5.59%
-0.88%
+0.89%
+25.00%
+38.92%
+2.79%
-19.58%
2019
-23.73%
-0.46%
-14.94%
+5.68%
-3.84%
-14.63%
+3.43%
-9.64%
-9.67%
-5.90%
+56.86%
-4.50%
2018
-0.55%
+7.85%
-2.43%
-8.38%
-7.14%
-9.23%
+13.39%
+11.21%
-0.40%
-26.32%
+4.95%
2017
-5.26%
+6.35%
-2.54%
+5.21%
+10.04%
-6.35%
-2.12%
-1.30%
-4.39%
-4.28%
+14.22%
+2.10%
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