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Election
56.21%
2015
57.65%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.12%
-4.10%
+2.47%
+2.33%
-5.50%
-3.72%
+0.44%
-0.22%
-0.48%
+0.83%
+1.56%
+1.59%
2026
-0.88%
-5.19%
+5.00%
-9.71%
-5.77%
-0.31%
0.00%
+8.86%
+45.53%
--
2025
+4.98%
-14.21%
-5.21%
-18.42%
-9.72%
+8.35%
-2.02%
+4.96%
+4.41%
+4.57%
2024
+7.71%
-23.45%
+11.62%
+42.57%
-26.84%
-8.87%
+12.77%
-14.22%
+4.97%
2023
2022
2021
2020
-9.67%
-4.92%
2019
-4.50%
2018
-6.27%
-1.84%
-1.19%
2017
+0.17%
-4.20%
-5.00%
+1.57%
-0.91%
+0.92%
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