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Election
80.25%
2005
82.29%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.90%
-10.71%
-7.86%
+9.54%
+4.15%
+4.64%
+5.45%
+2.03%
+3.59%
+1.14%
-4.91%
+16.09%
2026
-12.13%
+9.65%
-9.71%
+36.47%
-11.40%
-4.48%
-2.62%
+10.45%
+1.08%
--
2025
-1.91%
-28.23%
+7.17%
+3.80%
+4.53%
+29.67%
+26.22%
-8.35%
-6.78%
+4.77%
-18.43%
-4.60%
2024
+19.76%
-9.57%
-26.80%
+38.46%
+9.78%
+0.20%
+17.78%
+18.18%
+34.11%
-15.80%
+4.76%
-10.06%
2023
-4.87%
-7.82%
-16.67%
+16.14%
-7.85%
+31.15%
+2.00%
+11.52%
-14.07%
+9.46%
+3.27%
-7.24%
2022
-14.06%
-30.39%
+21.27%
+2.46%
-3.00%
+5.88%
-6.14%
+15.89%
+2.96%
+7.83%
-35.35%
+46.07%
2021
+11.07%
-18.51%
-8.73%
-6.70%
+23.08%
+29.17%
-3.87%
+5.03%
-6.71%
0.00%
+4.45%
+46.89%
2020
-0.88%
-13.84%
-17.10%
+38.75%
-10.36%
-2.51%
-1.03%
+4.17%
-7.00%
+12.37%
-19.14%
+49.70%
2019
-2.15%
-5.85%
-6.48%
-2.49%
-0.57%
-32.57%
+22.88%
-16.55%
+24.38%
-12.62%
-12.17%
-2.16%
2018
-16.40%
-5.04%
-6.17%
-39.76%
+19.80%
-3.18%
+3.50%
-4.02%
-11.89%
-6.25%
+14.40%
-2.33%
2017
-7.45%
+2.50%
-15.36%
+8.25%
+17.52%
-6.97%
-4.18%
-16.00%
+17.32%
+10.52%
+14.02%
+28.55%
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