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Election
58.45%
2006
65.76%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.11%
-1.00%
-2.48%
+9.12%
+2.03%
+2.97%
+3.01%
+2.68%
-0.22%
-0.09%
+0.04%
+0.43%
2026
-12.10%
+3.30%
-10.50%
+14.05%
-0.99%
-6.41%
-4.42%
+0.49%
+3.55%
--
2025
-16.17%
-21.13%
+3.26%
+5.26%
+31.45%
-6.05%
-1.13%
+2.92%
-0.35%
-1.41%
-3.57%
-6.30%
2024
+18.32%
-10.85%
-2.83%
+7.19%
-1.40%
+22.54%
+19.40%
-19.33%
-5.87%
-3.09%
+1.96%
2023
-5.07%
-1.70%
+0.76%
+17.15%
+31.21%
+1.31%
+2.21%
-0.29%
+10.44%
-0.87%
2022
-1.15%
-4.63%
+2.22%
+3.68%
-4.56%
-3.23%
+2.46%
+4.81%
+10.00%
-1.08%
-0.97%
-2.51%
2021
+1.35%
+3.38%
-1.24%
+0.74%
+4.58%
+3.61%
+2.86%
+9.89%
-9.45%
-6.89%
-3.00%
2020
+4.28%
+24.81%
-26.43%
+46.51%
-14.50%
+9.33%
-5.00%
-2.90%
-2.13%
+2.48%
+4.55%
+1.01%
2019
+2.16%
+0.63%
+4.31%
-1.02%
+1.62%
-6.83%
-1.60%
+9.20%
+5.76%
-5.68%
-1.69%
2018
-6.88%
-5.77%
-0.71%
+13.62%
-13.59%
-5.79%
+2.43%
+6.99%
-4.71%
+2.23%
+2.73%
-4.12%
2017
+4.19%
+2.71%
+8.84%
+0.41%
+0.57%
+15.00%
+12.15%
-6.21%
-6.75%
+6.79%
+2.84%
+19.35%
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