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Election
77.23%
2009
78.07%
Probability %
Average return %
+8.93%
-12.51%
-6.26%
+20.56%
+2.20%
+7.45%
+9.43%
+2.91%
+7.23%
-1.83%
-5.34%
+5.15%
2026
-5.16%
+0.05%
-15.54%
+41.45%
-3.87%
+30.98%
-8.17%
+3.72%
+5.82%
--
2025
-8.95%
-17.96%
-19.87%
+18.33%
+3.17%
+7.88%
-5.85%
-7.24%
+17.15%
+4.27%
-1.90%
+6.24%
2024
+7.92%
-14.37%
-13.70%
+26.34%
-8.15%
+15.10%
+15.17%
+8.89%
+8.79%
-15.44%
-7.87%
+5.78%
2023
-1.82%
-9.35%
+24.07%
+10.02%
+4.23%
+28.64%
+26.54%
+17.12%
-8.63%
+12.01%
-0.40%
-1.77%
2022
+24.60%
-21.74%
-13.10%
+11.79%
-2.93%
-6.62%
+9.37%
-1.20%
+0.32%
+0.89%
-2.64%
-0.65%
2021
-8.25%
-16.81%
+38.43%
+20.03%
-1.34%
+7.53%
+22.87%
-28.38%
+7.12%
-7.57%
-4.13%
+34.96%
2020
+3.06%
-15.91%
-39.60%
+21.92%
+5.31%
+37.07%
-5.93%
+9.33%
-1.50%
+2.58%
-1.94%
+29.80%
2019
+12.09%
-18.22%
-14.93%
+6.95%
+1.85%
-17.39%
-13.98%
-2.27%
+11.32%
-4.78%
-11.13%
-6.06%
2018
+75.40%
+2.73%
+5.94%
+40.00%
+36.88%
-15.02%
+0.77%
+10.81%
+13.62%
-4.94%
-5.62%
-20.86%
2017
-9.60%
-13.53%
-14.26%
+8.78%
-13.16%
-13.69%
+53.54%
+18.27%
+16.85%
-3.47%
-12.45%
-1.11%
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