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Election
87.25%
2023
89.78%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.70%
-4.29%
-11.47%
+17.07%
-3.01%
+4.73%
-2.92%
+11.83%
-4.96%
-8.10%
-6.81%
+2.44%
2026
-38.02%
-4.91%
-23.87%
+60.17%
-4.23%
-6.08%
-1.76%
-10.78%
+11.41%
--
2025
-5.68%
-17.90%
-7.42%
+12.90%
-7.19%
-0.47%
-15.56%
-19.42%
-49.04%
-21.62%
-31.72%
+32.83%
2024
+6.29%
-13.17%
-12.24%
+10.60%
+3.61%
+1.27%
-5.19%
-6.47%
+6.28%
-1.93%
-0.54%
-2.86%
-2.23%
-14.86%
-39.34%
+28.05%
-25.34%
-3.42%
-6.79%
-7.59%
-10.37%
-0.95%
+1.17%
+23.37%
2022
+7.97%
+2.56%
-2.94%
-8.93%
-23.26%
-10.17%
+18.31%
+62.53%
+0.25%
+6.25%
-5.88%
-4.50%
2021
-33.99%
+22.75%
-17.11%
+97.05%
+30.30%
+85.65%
-6.96%
+48.48%
-2.99%
+4.62%
-11.03%
+27.07%
2020
+8.62%
-9.35%
-12.50%
-25.29%
-0.10%
-11.10%
-2.15%
+20.90%
-24.02%
-11.26%
+14.57%
-28.62%
2019
0.00%
-8.03%
+0.71%
-3.87%
-3.90%
-8.38%
-9.14%
+30.64%
+35.24%
-47.97%
-27.86%
2018
2017
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