Gold Futures - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	60%	60%	56%	78%	78%	56%	78%	67%	56%	89%
Average return %	+3.43%	+0.37%	+2.06%	+1.48%	+1.10%	-0.90%	+2.81%	+1.16%	-0.96%	+1.73%	+0.73%	+2.85%
2026	+9.31%	+10.60%	-10.23%	-0.80%	-1.70%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+7.35%	+0.48%	+10.60%	+5.31%	-0.07%	-0.23%	+1.24%	+5.81%	+9.31%	+3.18%	+7.07%	+1.45%
2024	-0.21%	-0.61%	+8.94%	+2.88%	+1.86%	-0.43%	+5.88%	+2.21%	+5.21%	+3.38%	-3.36%	-0.60%
2023	+6.52%	-5.58%	+8.14%	+0.65%	-0.85%	-2.66%	+4.14%	-2.16%	-5.08%	+6.87%	+3.15%	+0.71%
2022	-1.76%	+5.81%	+2.80%	-2.16%	-3.61%	-1.92%	-1.41%	-3.12%	-3.14%	-1.87%	+7.27%	+3.77%
2021	-2.36%	-6.57%	-0.76%	+3.04%	+7.77%	-7.00%	+2.57%	+0.05%	-3.36%	+1.53%	-0.41%	+2.93%
2020	+4.25%	-1.34%	+1.91%	+6.11%	+3.39%	+2.79%	+10.30%	-0.37%	-4.20%	-0.82%	-5.27%	+6.41%
2019	+3.43%	-0.69%	-1.34%	-0.99%	+1.98%	+7.83%	+1.70%	+6.37%	-3.69%	+2.84%	-3.25%	+3.92%
2018	+2.58%	-1.88%	+0.71%	-0.61%	-1.10%	-3.85%	-1.67%	-2.18%	-0.87%	+1.57%	+0.91%	+4.51%
2017	+5.18%	+3.51%	-0.22%	+1.37%	+0.56%	-2.60%	+2.50%	+3.83%	-2.83%	-1.11%	+0.49%	+2.55%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

49.92%

2012

78.78%

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Weekly average

Monthly average