Orange Juice - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	70%	50%	50%	70%	70%	67%	56%	78%	56%	67%	67%
Average return %	+0.17%	-2.93%	+0.65%	+0.72%	+4.08%	-3.40%	+4.36%	+2.84%	-0.71%	-0.56%	+0.69%	-0.58%
2026	+4.92%	-14.02%	+4.68%	+0.13%	-16.29%	+3.77%	+3.99%	--	--	--	--	--
2025	-3.21%	-36.55%	-19.14%	+8.38%	+7.99%	-21.21%	+15.83%	-6.00%	-0.41%	-28.02%	-10.98%	+28.93%
2024	+11.43%	-0.27%	+2.08%	+5.23%	+14.38%	-1.03%	-2.73%	+17.99%	-7.16%	+5.74%	+2.72%	-2.06%
2023	+6.20%	+27.44%	-3.53%	-0.72%	+5.48%	-3.70%	+16.36%	+3.78%	+6.58%	+19.43%	-4.00%	-20.15%
2022	+0.92%	-1.15%	+4.11%	+20.04%	-2.77%	+1.30%	-7.24%	+19.14%	-3.60%	+7.81%	-2.74%	+2.84%
2021	-9.82%	+2.20%	-2.64%	-0.95%	+11.96%	-3.34%	+12.15%	+1.20%	-1.52%	-7.85%	+0.66%	+19.04%
2020	-1.29%	+6.15%	+18.02%	-9.90%	+15.60%	+1.68%	-4.36%	-6.53%	-0.09%	+3.74%	+9.16%	-4.27%
2019	-4.04%	-4.83%	+9.23%	-24.07%	+14.35%	-7.29%	+2.94%	-2.85%	-0.75%	-3.91%	+2.87%	-1.42%
2018	+9.34%	-3.56%	-1.60%	+9.82%	+4.42%	-1.39%	+4.92%	-5.70%	-7.22%	-7.34%	+6.08%	-13.06%
2017	-12.72%	-4.68%	-4.73%	-0.76%	-14.28%	-2.77%	+1.39%	+4.56%	+7.77%	+5.33%	+2.46%	-15.05%

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Correlation

Post-election

65.80%

2007

85.13%

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