Gasoline RBOB - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	90%	80%	60%	50%	60%	56%	78%	67%	56%	78%	67%
Average return %	+4.31%	+12.36%	+0.89%	+4.94%	+2.24%	+0.75%	+1.18%	-8.65%	-2.49%	-1.12%	-3.26%	+3.04%
2026	+13.25%	+17.68%	+40.18%	+13.79%	-14.04%	-6.84%	+1.40%	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+2.47%	+7.94%	+3.08%	-11.22%	-0.91%	+2.83%	+4.91%	-9.88%	-1.88%	-1.12%	-2.56%	-7.54%
2024	+5.93%	+15.68%	+5.41%	-1.08%	-10.17%	+4.60%	-3.41%	-14.30%	-7.55%	+2.00%	-1.52%	+3.37%
2023	+3.57%	+2.93%	+1.48%	-5.63%	-3.41%	+4.14%	+13.78%	-11.38%	-6.49%	-7.59%	-1.87%	-3.19%
2022	+14.83%	+14.80%	+7.45%	+9.25%	+18.53%	-13.33%	-11.96%	-21.92%	-2.51%	+6.58%	-5.58%	+3.93%
2021	+10.11%	+25.62%	+0.47%	+5.95%	+4.53%	+3.29%	+4.14%	-8.26%	+2.43%	+8.01%	-18.13%	+14.66%
2020	-11.03%	-1.42%	-60.03%	+32.23%	+37.62%	+11.40%	-2.53%	+3.64%	-2.64%	-12.64%	+20.29%	+13.57%
2019	+5.80%	+27.20%	+7.43%	+9.79%	-14.29%	+7.07%	-1.78%	-17.88%	+2.41%	+1.79%	+0.15%	+5.85%
2018	+5.45%	+1.63%	+4.99%	+5.45%	+1.39%	-0.43%	-3.29%	-4.01%	+4.44%	-16.03%	-19.96%	-7.12%
2017	-7.23%	+11.57%	-1.53%	-9.10%	+3.13%	-5.19%	+10.76%	+6.12%	-10.58%	+8.89%	-0.14%	+3.80%

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Correlation

Pre-election

92.06%

1998

92.96%

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