5-Year T-Note Futures - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	70%	60%	78%	56%	56%	56%	78%	78%	78%	67%
Average return %	-0.13%	-0.24%	+0.29%	-0.45%	+0.23%	-0.03%	+0.07%	+0.16%	-0.60%	-0.76%	+0.41%	+0.17%
2026	-0.34%	+1.05%	-1.62%	-0.31%	-0.96%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+0.08%	+1.27%	+0.38%	+0.88%	-0.94%	+0.85%	-0.76%	+1.20%	-0.25%	+0.01%	+0.46%	-0.38%
2024	-0.26%	-1.74%	+0.65%	-2.30%	+0.66%	+0.87%	+1.45%	+0.91%	+0.93%	-2.41%	+0.15%	-1.02%
2023	+1.11%	-2.35%	+2.69%	+0.19%	-1.17%	-1.41%	-0.10%	-0.38%	-1.17%	-0.65%	+1.81%	+2.17%
2022	-1.93%	-0.50%	-2.92%	-2.14%	+0.64%	-0.66%	+0.96%	-2.59%	-2.26%	-1.56%	+1.53%	-0.17%
2021	+0.01%	-1.16%	-0.24%	-0.14%	+0.38%	-0.36%	+0.39%	-0.21%	-0.61%	-1.35%	+0.13%	-0.29%
2020	+1.57%	+1.62%	+2.40%	+0.22%	+0.27%	+0.13%	+0.11%	-0.17%	+0.01%	-0.25%	+0.07%	+0.13%
2019	+0.22%	-0.34%	+1.13%	-0.11%	+1.34%	+0.70%	-0.39%	+1.68%	-0.67%	+0.40%	-0.47%	-0.15%
2018	-1.42%	-0.42%	+0.44%	-1.07%	+0.53%	-0.14%	-0.72%	+0.44%	-0.70%	-0.39%	+0.53%	+1.45%
2017	-0.35%	+0.17%	+0.01%	+0.28%	+0.34%	-0.25%	-0.31%	+0.54%	-0.68%	-0.67%	-0.52%	-0.18%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Midterm

73.82%

2006

74.09%

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Weekly average

Monthly average