10-Year T-Note Futures - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	60%	50%	78%	67%	56%	56%	75%	89%	78%	78%
Average return %	-0.06%	-0.24%	+0.11%	-0.50%	+0.39%	-0.05%	+0.43%	+0.23%	-1.16%	-0.94%	+0.78%	-0.04%
2026	-0.54%	+1.82%	-2.35%	-0.41%	-1.29%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+0.09%	+2.04%	+0.14%	+0.89%	-1.32%	+1.27%	-0.95%	+1.29%	0.00%	+0.15%	+0.50%	-0.70%
2024	-0.50%	-2.14%	+0.80%	-3.03%	+0.97%	+0.96%	+2.08%	+1.10%	+1.09%	-3.34%	+0.50%	-2.04%
2023	+1.98%	-2.92%	+3.37%	+0.24%	-1.37%	-1.19%	-0.77%	-0.76%	-2.26%	-1.75%	+3.11%	+3.13%
2022	-1.92%	-0.40%	-3.59%	-3.03%	+0.58%	-1.10%	+2.20%	-3.52%	-4.12%	-1.31%	+2.37%	-0.81%
2021	-0.76%	-2.36%	-2.14%	+0.84%	+0.63%	-0.27%	+1.47%	-0.30%	-1.82%	-0.69%	+0.65%	-0.82%
2020	+2.52%	+2.42%	+2.85%	+0.27%	+0.22%	-0.15%	+0.65%	-0.48%	+0.09%	-0.94%	+0.23%	-0.33%
2019	+0.37%	-0.59%	+2.03%	-0.44%	+2.19%	+1.26%	-0.43%	+2.84%	-0.56%	-0.01%	-0.77%	-0.68%
2018	-1.99%	-0.76%	+0.40%	-1.25%	+0.93%	-0.45%	-0.64%	+0.81%	-1.34%	-0.29%	+0.94%	+2.07%
2017	+0.15%	+0.51%	-0.44%	+0.93%	+0.67%	-0.81%	+0.29%	+1.08%	-1.52%	-0.30%	-0.50%	-0.21%

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Correlation

Midterm

75.72%

2021

75.34%

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Weekly average

Monthly average