Soybean Futures - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	80%	60%	60%	60%	67%	56%	56%	67%	56%	78%	67%	67%
Average return %	+1.47%	+1.91%	-0.67%	+0.38%	-1.23%	-3.19%	-0.92%	-1.01%	+0.14%	+2.25%	+1.60%	+2.63%
2026	+1.60%	+10.01%	+0.26%	+2.67%	-2.10%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+3.12%	-1.56%	-1.07%	+3.77%	-1.07%	-1.42%	-3.68%	+6.60%	-5.00%	+11.33%	+1.70%	-7.65%
2024	-5.84%	-6.67%	+4.45%	-2.39%	+3.61%	-8.32%	-7.45%	-2.20%	+5.70%	-5.91%	-0.50%	+2.12%
2023	+0.92%	-3.84%	+1.79%	-5.73%	-8.42%	+3.35%	-0.86%	+2.78%	-6.85%	+2.78%	+2.46%	-3.33%
2022	+11.29%	+9.81%	-1.13%	+4.11%	-0.09%	-13.38%	+0.72%	-3.13%	-4.06%	+4.01%	+3.52%	+3.71%
2021	+4.50%	+2.50%	+2.31%	+6.79%	+0.93%	-9.65%	-3.56%	-4.21%	-2.82%	-0.52%	-2.58%	+10.02%
2020	-8.69%	+2.32%	-0.76%	-3.47%	-1.70%	+4.94%	+1.16%	+6.83%	+7.34%	+3.20%	+10.63%	+12.20%
2019	+2.26%	-0.55%	-2.86%	-3.42%	+2.78%	+5.16%	-4.50%	-1.42%	+4.26%	+2.90%	-5.95%	+8.98%
2018	+3.54%	+6.00%	-1.02%	+0.36%	-2.86%	-13.60%	+4.43%	-8.22%	+0.24%	+0.74%	+5.05%	+0.03%
2017	+2.04%	+1.10%	-8.67%	+1.08%	-4.21%	+4.23%	+5.50%	-6.16%	+2.43%	+1.70%	+0.10%	-2.43%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Post-election

88.76%

2021

78.11%

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Weekly average

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