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Pre-election
50.95%
2008
72.54%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.23%
-1.03%
-1.44%
+2.14%
+0.77%
+0.89%
+2.09%
+0.66%
-0.90%
+0.58%
+3.19%
-0.28%
2026
-15.57%
+0.35%
-6.39%
+7.58%
+0.84%
+1.18%
-0.73%
+0.44%
-2.52%
--
2025
-4.61%
-2.92%
-8.71%
-5.74%
+6.43%
-2.41%
+4.02%
-1.37%
+0.75%
+5.59%
+0.05%
-0.32%
2024
-4.67%
+1.85%
+1.57%
-0.07%
+0.45%
+5.81%
-2.45%
+0.71%
+4.16%
-1.73%
2023
+1.41%
-0.95%
+1.49%
+0.86%
+2.98%
+1.83%
-0.35%
+0.06%
-2.29%
-2.33%
+6.63%
+3.37%
2022
-10.65%
-4.59%
+3.60%
-2.39%
-2.99%
-6.11%
+11.55%
-2.68%
-7.99%
+2.56%
+3.09%
2021
-3.98%
-0.43%
+5.42%
+1.69%
-1.31%
+4.27%
+2.96%
+4.56%
-1.59%
+3.40%
+3.11%
+2.36%
2020
-5.07%
-8.85%
-6.59%
+10.64%
-0.27%
+2.49%
+1.43%
+3.90%
-0.39%
-2.24%
+7.71%
+2.51%
2019
-1.76%
+4.03%
+4.40%
+3.52%
-2.23%
+3.33%
-0.09%
+1.02%
+3.36%
+2.05%
2018
-8.50%
-3.17%
-5.93%
+5.06%
+2.61%
+0.60%
+1.65%
+0.74%
+0.18%
-6.20%
+1.90%
-6.42%
2017
+1.09%
+4.39%
-3.22%
+0.22%
+1.21%
-1.82%
-0.55%
+0.16%
+1.89%
+4.83%
-1.26%
+0.33%
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