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Election
52.54%
2024
72.97%
Probability %
Average return %
-8.89%
+13.85%
+79.94%
-4.37%
-6.59%
+5.13%
+1.67%
+2.12%
-8.74%
-5.39%
-5.84%
+3.79%
2026
-14.42%
-11.80%
-0.22%
+4.13%
-12.50%
-29.97%
-17.81%
+29.09%
+2.58%
--
2025
+55.63%
-31.49%
-24.70%
+12.73%
-1.33%
+9.94%
+26.32%
-19.93%
+6.52%
-20.37%
-20.40%
+15.22%
-16.31%
+40.75%
+47.27%
-35.61%
+23.60%
-38.19%
+8.30%
+6.95%
-7.50%
-9.01%
+25.35%
+12.16%
2023
-9.58%
+20.03%
+4.28%
-19.97%
-0.17%
-16.89%
+13.75%
-8.76%
-10.75%
+6.02%
-6.29%
+31.39%
2022
-21.48%
-22.18%
+17.48%
+18.38%
-32.08%
-21.34%
+23.00%
-5.35%
-18.25%
-4.89%
-23.67%
-15.12%
2021
+3.61%
+93.02%
+551.81%
-5.93%
-57.10%
-26.89%
-2.76%
+47.36%
-9.66%
+13.21%
+42.28%
-24.61%
2020
-5.36%
+18.40%
+3.98%
+2.30%
+55.43%
+69.16%
+19.37%
-7.88%
-7.12%
-11.85%
-20.73%
-17.17%
2019
-63.25%
+4.08%
+39.61%
-11.00%
-28.61%
+95.25%
-56.78%
-24.55%
-14.40%
-12.40%
+5.66%
2018
+8.37%
-30.86%
+22.77%
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