Bitcoin - Seasonality

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Bitcoin - Seasonality

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	70%	60%	67%	56%	56%	78%	67%	67%	78%	56%	67%
Average return %	+3.32%	+8.82%	+1.64%	+11.82%	+9.28%	-2.39%	+10.83%	+3.08%	-3.20%	+18.14%	+5.28%	+6.41%
2026	-9.82%	-14.37%	+1.87%	+0.46%	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	+9.70%	-17.69%	-2.09%	+14.15%	+11.07%	+2.42%	+8.01%	-6.49%	+5.38%	-3.96%	-17.51%	-3.24%
2024	+0.61%	+43.79%	+16.53%	-14.96%	+11.30%	-7.12%	+3.10%	-8.73%	+7.35%	+10.89%	+37.42%	-3.23%
2023	+39.92%	+0.07%	+23.02%	+2.71%	-6.92%	+11.92%	-4.06%	-11.28%	+3.97%	+28.54%	+8.88%	+12.07%
2022	-16.70%	+12.21%	+5.41%	-17.32%	-15.57%	-37.12%	+16.62%	-13.98%	-3.10%	+5.48%	-16.22%	-3.71%
2021	+14.31%	+36.50%	+30.00%	-1.70%	-35.50%	-5.95%	+18.35%	+13.54%	-6.98%	+39.98%	-7.10%	-18.91%
2020	+30.27%	-8.68%	-24.64%	+34.24%	+9.53%	-3.29%	+24.25%	+2.67%	-7.51%	+28.06%	+42.80%	+47.05%
2019	-7.59%	+11.16%	+7.99%	+28.71%	+62.29%	+25.80%	-6.26%	-4.82%	-13.50%	+10.29%	-17.51%	-5.16%
2018	-27.14%	+2.05%	-32.78%	+33.42%	-19.03%	-14.72%	+21.06%	-9.22%	-5.84%	-4.55%	-36.93%	-7.15%
2017	-0.35%	+23.20%	-8.88%	+27.14%	+66.36%	+6.59%	+16.36%	+66.05%	-8.54%	+48.54%	+53.65%	+39.99%

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Midterm

61.92%

2014

80.54%

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