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Election
81.90%
2008
89.56%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.19%
-2.71%
-7.92%
+5.48%
-1.19%
-0.55%
+4.82%
-0.91%
-4.22%
-3.27%
+19.05%
+3.31%
2026
+0.61%
-3.01%
-13.04%
+2.14%
+1.40%
+0.69%
-3.42%
-2.13%
+0.72%
--
2025
-2.00%
-6.12%
-3.62%
+3.01%
+10.95%
+11.18%
+3.55%
-4.00%
-4.17%
-4.35%
+1.30%
+5.77%
2024
-2.16%
-2.94%
+10.61%
-5.48%
-6.52%
-1.55%
+0.79%
+0.78%
+1.55%
-3.05%
+8.66%
+8.70%
2023
-6.62%
+2.13%
-11.81%
+18.11%
-3.33%
+3.45%
+10.67%
-1.24%
-17.61%
+11.45%
-4.79%
2022
-16.20%
-2.10%
+3.43%
+10.79%
-19.10%
-23.15%
+4.68%
-16.76%
-5.37%
+15.60%
-7.36%
2021
+32.26%
-18.70%
+3.00%
+2.91%
+6.60%
+2.65%
-6.03%
+3.67%
-7.96%
-1.92%
+135.29%
+18.33%
2020
-2.47%
-6.98%
-36.59%
+32.44%
+0.95%
+10.72%
-1.94%
+7.04%
-3.34%
-0.12%
+4.30%
+6.53%
2019
+5.28%
+0.12%
-12.16%
+4.61%
-7.78%
-0.70%
+33.85%
-8.99%
-0.58%
+3.74%
+4.28%
+4.86%
2018
0.00%
-2.68%
-4.59%
-5.77%
+10.20%
-10.65%
+0.52%
-2.06%
-3.68%
-5.25%
-4.27%
-4.10%
2017
+3.20%
+13.18%
-14.38%
-8.00%
-5.22%
+1.83%
+7.21%
-5.04%
-1.77%
+4.50%
-5.17%
+1.82%
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