Medicare Group Q.P.S.C. - MCGS.QA - Seasonality

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Medicare Group Q.P.S.C. - MCGS.QA - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

92.45%

2023

91.19%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	80%	70%	50%	50%	60%	50%	50%	56%	56%	78%	67%
Average return %	+1.62%	-3.67%	-1.02%	+0.48%	+0.03%	+1.83%	+3.21%	-0.03%	+0.41%	+1.96%	-1.80%	-1.20%
2026	-3.02%	-17.42%	-4.14%	+8.45%	+2.17%	+0.35%	-2.83%	-1.82%	-4.81%	--	--	--
2025	+5.28%	-5.01%	+2.34%	+2.42%	+8.97%	+4.22%	+10.40%	+10.12%	+11.57%	-7.67%	-2.15%	+4.25%
2024	-11.19%	-4.34%	-7.56%	-5.37%	-1.98%	+8.31%	-3.95%	+2.42%	+10.40%	+1.50%	-1.48%	-6.64%
2023	-0.16%	-3.39%	-3.17%	+3.45%	+16.17%	-8.03%	-1.72%	-4.76%	-3.33%	-7.07%	+2.97%	-1.80%
2022	+0.24%	-8.22%	-9.21%	-2.82%	+1.88%	-0.43%	-1.94%	+8.83%	-7.63%	+0.87%	-5.60%	-5.48%
2021	-0.45%	-1.14%	+11.49%	-1.96%	-1.16%	-7.98%	-0.46%	-1.86%	-3.91%	+4.31%	-0.83%	+1.19%
2020	-1.30%	-20.86%	-10.61%	+7.97%	+5.49%	+1.79%	+7.31%	+2.45%	+1.06%	+13.16%	+6.51%	-3.49%
2019	+4.12%	+1.37%	-0.45%	-5.73%	-5.92%	+14.63%	+10.39%	+7.12%	-4.14%	+17.80%	-3.89%	-2.31%
2018	+20.16%	-1.70%	-8.53%	-2.92%	-14.86%	+11.11%	+11.27%	-3.99%	-2.67%	-2.29%	-0.78%	-0.63%
2017	+2.54%	+24.03%	+19.63%	+1.36%	-10.41%	-5.64%	+3.66%	-18.82%	+2.32%	-2.97%	-10.95%	+4.10%

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